Projected migrant fiscal impact under baseline scenario
The metrics below move with Migrant Fiscal Impact — Baseline Projection across UK places. A positive correlation means the two tend to rise together; a negative one means as this rises, the other tends to fall.
| # | Metric | Strength | r | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Non-UK-Born Net Fiscal — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 2 | Non-UK-Born Net Fiscal — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 3 | Migrant Fiscal Impact — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 4 | Non-UK-Born Net Fiscal — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 5 |
| # | Metric | Strength | r | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sikh Schoolsreligion | very_strong | -0.85 | 33 |
| 2 | Muslim Schoolsreligion | strong | -0.77 | 94 |
| 3 | Buddhist Templesreligion | strong | -0.75 | 138 |
| 4 | Live Birthsdemographic |
Data: precomputed cross-metric correlations (latest period).
| Migrant Fiscal Impact — Extended Working Projectionprojection |
| very_strong |
| 1.00 |
| 514 |
| 6 | Non-UK-Born Net Fiscal — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 7 | Migrant Fiscal Impact — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 8 | Net Fiscal Balance — High Migration Projectionprojection | strong | 0.73 | 514 |
| 9 | Net Fiscal Balance — Extended Working Projectionprojection | strong | 0.73 | 514 |
| 10 | Net Fiscal Balance — Baseline Projectionprojection | strong | 0.73 | 514 |
| 11 | Net Fiscal Balance — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | strong | 0.73 | 514 |
| 12 | Net Fiscal After Interest — High Migration Projectionprojection | strong | 0.71 | 514 |
| 13 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Extended Working Projectionprojection | strong | 0.71 | 514 |
| 14 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Baseline Projectionprojection | strong | 0.70 | 514 |
| 15 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | strong | 0.70 | 514 |
| strong |
| -0.74 |
| 514 |
| 5 | Population Aged 16-64demographic | strong | -0.73 | 514 |
| 6 | Population Aged 0-15demographic | strong | -0.73 | 514 |
| 7 | Mid-Year Population Estimatedemographic | strong | -0.72 | 514 |
| 8 | Young Population (0-15) — Baseline Projectionprojection | strong | -0.70 | 514 |
| 9 | Young Population (0-15) — Extended Working Projectionprojection | strong | -0.70 | 514 |
| 10 | Young Population (0-15) — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | strong | -0.70 | 514 |
| 11 | Births — UK-born Motherdemographic | strong | -0.69 | 514 |
| 12 | Total Education Expenditureeducation | strong | -0.69 | 291 |
| 13 | Claimant Countsocial | strong | -0.68 | 514 |
| 14 | Total Expenditure — Extended Working Projectionprojection | strong | -0.68 | 514 |
| 15 | Elderly Population (65+) — Extended Working Projectionprojection | strong | -0.68 | 514 |