Projected cumulative deficit under low fertility scenario
The metrics below move with Cumulative Deficit — Low Fertility Projection across UK places. A positive correlation means the two tend to rise together; a negative one means as this rises, the other tends to fall.
| # | Metric | Strength | r | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 2 | Cumulative Deficit — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 3 | Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 4 | Cumulative Deficit — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 5 |
| # | Metric | Strength | r | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Debt Interest — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | -1.00 | 514 |
| 2 | Debt Interest — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | -1.00 | 514 |
| 3 | Debt Interest — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | -1.00 | 514 |
| 4 |
Data: precomputed cross-metric correlations (latest period).
| Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — Low Fertility Projectionprojection |
| very_strong |
| 1.00 |
| 514 |
| 6 | Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 7 | Cumulative Deficit — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 8 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.99 | 514 |
| 9 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.99 | 514 |
| 10 | Net Fiscal After Interest — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 11 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 12 | Net Fiscal Balance — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.97 | 514 |
| 13 | Net Fiscal Balance — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.96 | 514 |
| 14 | Net Fiscal Balance — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.96 | 514 |
| 15 | Net Fiscal Balance — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.96 | 514 |
| very_strong |
| -1.00 |
| 514 |
| 5 | Deathsdemographic | very_strong | -0.94 | 514 |
| 6 | Births — UK-born Motherdemographic | very_strong | -0.92 | 514 |
| 7 | Recorded Criminal Damage & Arsoncrime | very_strong | -0.91 | 473 |
| 8 | Mid-Year Population Estimatedemographic | very_strong | -0.90 | 514 |
| 9 | Recorded Violence Against the Personcrime | very_strong | -0.90 | 473 |
| 10 | Young Population (0-15) — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.90 | 514 |
| 11 | Population Aged 0-15demographic | very_strong | -0.90 | 514 |
| 12 | Young Population (0-15) — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.90 | 514 |
| 13 | Young Population (0-15) — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.90 | 514 |
| 14 | Population Aged 65+demographic | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 15 | Total Expenditure — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |