Projected population lower bound under extended working scenario
The metrics below move with Population Lower Bound — Extended Working Projection across UK places. A positive correlation means the two tend to rise together; a negative one means as this rises, the other tends to fall.
| # | Metric | Strength | r | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Population Lower Bound — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 2 | Population Lower Bound — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | 1.00 | 514 |
| 3 | Working-Age Population (16-64) — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 4 | Working-Age Population (16-64) — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 5 | Population Lower Bound — High Migration Projection |
| # | Metric | Strength | r | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 2 | Net Fiscal After Interest — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 3 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
Data: precomputed cross-metric correlations (latest period).
| very_strong |
| 0.98 |
| 514 |
| 6 | Working-Age Population (16-64) — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 7 | Total Expenditure — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 8 | Total Population — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 9 | Total Population — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 10 | Total Population — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 11 | Total Population — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.98 | 514 |
| 12 | Deathsdemographic | very_strong | 0.97 | 514 |
| 13 | Population Aged 65+demographic | very_strong | 0.97 | 514 |
| 14 | Elderly Population (65+) — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.97 | 514 |
| 15 | State Pension Expenditure — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | 0.97 | 514 |
| 4 |
| Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — Baseline Projectionprojection |
| very_strong |
| -0.89 |
| 514 |
| 5 | Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 6 | Cumulative Deficit — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 7 | Cumulative Deficit — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 8 | Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 9 | Cumulative Deficit — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.89 | 514 |
| 10 | Net Fiscal Balance — Baseline Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.88 | 514 |
| 11 | Net Fiscal Balance — Low Fertility Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.88 | 514 |
| 12 | Net Fiscal Balance — High Migration Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.88 | 514 |
| 13 | Net Fiscal After Interest — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.87 | 514 |
| 14 | Cumulative Balance (incl. Interest) — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.86 | 514 |
| 15 | Cumulative Deficit — Extended Working Projectionprojection | very_strong | -0.86 | 514 |